https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2022.1065

Spatial epidemiology and meteorological risk factors of COVID-19 in Fars Province, Iran

Vol. 17 No. s1 (2022): Special issue on COVID-19
Submitted: 25 December 2021
Accepted: 19 April 2022
Published: 8 June 2022
COVID-19, meteorology, space-time outbreaks, Iran.
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Authors

Marjan Zare
Maternal-fetal medicine Research Centre, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran, Islamic Republic of.
Ali Semati
semati.epid77@gmail.com
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6322-7876
Non-communicable diseases Research Centre, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran, Islamic Republic of.
Alireza Mirahmadizadeh
Non-communicable diseases Research Centre, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran, Islamic Republic of.
Abdulrasool Hemmati
Non-communicable diseases Research Centre, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran, Islamic Republic of.
Mostafa Ebrahimi
Communicable Disease Control Centre, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran, Islamic Republic of.

This study aimed at detecting space-time clusters of COVID-19 cases in Fars Province, Iran and at investigating their potential association with meteorological factors, such as temperature, precipitation and wind velocity. Time-series data including 53,554 infected people recorded in 26 cities from 18 February to 30 September 2020 together with 5876 meteorological records were subjected to the analysis. Applying a significance level of P<0.05, the analysis of space-time distribution of COVID-19 resulted in nine significant outbreaks within the study period. The most likely cluster occurred from 27 March to 13 July 2020 and contained 11% of the total cases with eight additional, secondary clusters. We found that the COVID-19 incidence rate was affected by high temperature (OR=1.64; 95% CI: 1.44-1.87), while precipitation and wind velocity had less effect (OR=0.84; 95% CI: 0.75-0.89 and OR=0.27; 95% CI: 0.14-0.51), respectively.

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How to Cite

Zare, M. ., Semati, A., Mirahmadizadeh, A., Hemmati, A. ., & Ebrahimi, M. . (2022). Spatial epidemiology and meteorological risk factors of COVID-19 in Fars Province, Iran. Geospatial Health, 17(s1). https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2022.1065
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